First Notice and Last trading Days for the month of May below
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
· Reduce trading size
· Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
· Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 3925.00 with a stop at 3919.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 3919.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
· Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
· Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
· Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
· Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.
· Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
· Be patient and be disciplined
· If in doubt, stay out!!
A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.
Micro E-mini Futures and Options Webinar
Access new markets with the enhanced suite from CME Group
CME Group invites you to attend an online event focusing on the Micro E-mini futures and options suite on Wednesday, March 22.
Join us as Craig Bewick, Senior Director of Client Development & Sales, and Paul Woolman, Global Head of Equity Products, discuss the trading performance and rise in liquidity of Micro E-mini Equity futures and options. In addition, they will cover recent enhancements to the suite, including the introduction of Micro E-mini S&P MidCap 400 and SmallCap 600 futures as well as the Micro E-mini Monday-Thursday Weekly options.
Follow the link below to register for this online event. Further instructions will be provided following registration.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Between bank failures and rollover, mini SP traded 6 million contracts yesterday and approx. 4.5 million today. Daily range ( high to low) was near or above the 100 points for the mini SP!
The injected volatility back into the markets make this a different playing field than we had few weeks ago…
Few pointers below, Hope it helps.
*Expect the unexpected…
* Have an idea of what you are looking to do, keep in mind possible risk and have a game plan. Now more than ever, plan your trade and than trade your plan!
* Think money management, hedging risk while you are still trying to figure out how to profit.
* Know what is going on, reports, current margins, current limits and more.
* Consider short term options instead of futures and/or MICROS
* Trade smaller. The bands are much larger. Watch the VIX.
*While I have no idea were the market is going from day to day, minute to minute, week to week etc. I do know that in the past, some of the sharpest and largest rallies were short covering after a large sell off. More often than not market sell offs and volatility like we are seeing do not end up as V type of action but more like U or W when it is all said and done.
* DO NOT assume anything…if you are not sure,contact us and we will try our best to assist with the combined, vast experience we have here as a team.
My colleague, John Thorpe, Ex floor broker, contributed the following on the VIX and the VVIX:
We recommend all stock indices intraday traders to keep an eye on the VIX for directional clues and study, many of you have access through other means to view this critical trading barometer, VIX now trades 5 days per week ,23 hours per day. if you need to add the VIX data to your trading platforms , it’s 3 bucks per month, penny wise and pound foolish if you don’t. Contact your broker on how to add the Volatility Index traded through the CBOE to your trading platform
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Ahead of NFP this TOMORROW, the below is provided by our friends over at NewSquawk.com
PREVIEW: US nonfarm payrolls (Feb’23) to be released on Friday March 10th at 13:30GMT/08:30EST
EXPECTATIONS: The consensus looks for 203k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in February (forecast range: 100-325k), with the pace cooling from the 517k added in January. If the consensus is realized, it would be lower than the pace of the 3-, 6- and 12-month averages, at 356k, 349k and 414k respectively. The unemployment rate is expected to be unchanged at 3.4% (range: 3.3-3.5%); the Fed projects that the jobless rate will peak at 4.6% in 2023, although the central bank will update its economic projections at the March 21-22nd confab.
The CME FedWatch tool is a free online resource provided by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) that provides information about the market’s expectations for changes to U.S. Federal Reserve policy. Here’s how to use it:
2. Scroll down to the “Countdown to FOMC” section.
3. Review the table to see the probability of an interest rate change or no change at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, as well as the probability of future rate changes.
4. You can also view the implied yield of the Fed Funds futures contract for each FOMC meeting. This represents the market’s expectation of the federal funds rate at the specified date.
5. To view more detailed information, click on the “View Tool” button at the top of the page. This will take you to a page with additional charts and data about the market’s expectations for the federal funds rate.
6. The Fed DOTPLOT is found on the left-hand margin of the tool.
Note that the CME FedWatch tool is not a crystal ball and cannot predict the future with certainty. It is simply a reflection of the market’s current expectations and can be affected by changes in economic conditions or other factors.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Tomorrow is the first trading day for March. Last and first trading days of the months can at times be more volatile and at times have a chance to become a trending day.
ISM and energy numbers are the highlights on the reports side.
Trader’s Check List:
· Review prior day statement
· Check for any working orders on your platforms.
· Be aware of contract rollover dates
· Set a daily loss limit and learn NOT to overtrade
· Understand what reports are coming out today
· Make sure you are not distracted
· Calculate appropriate trading size based on current volatility and account size
· Start with Larger Time Frame charts to get proper perspective
· Understand what your goal is
· Measure your success or lack of
· Spend time furthering your trading education and exploring different methods
· Put trading in perspective and make sure the overall psychology of trading fits you.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
